Notes on the CS2 skin market.
Long-form pieces on pricing methodology, marketplace mechanics, float premium, trade-up math, and anything else that gives a trader an edge. Written by people who actually flip.
Pattern indexes: Case Hardened, Fade, and Marble Fade — the collector's guide
Some CS2 skins ignore float almost entirely. Two AK Case Hardeneds with the same float can trade for €40 and €4000. The reason is a hidden integer called the pattern index. Here's how it works and how to spot the gems.
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2 postsWhen float matters, and when it really doesn't
Float-aware sites make every skin look like a float-snipe opportunity. The truth is that for 80% of CS2 skins, float barely moves the price. Here is a calibrated framework for when to actually care.
Float premium: why low-float AK Redlines sell for 30% more
Counter-Strike wear tiers are just five coarse buckets over a continuous 0-1 float value. Collectors pay real money for floats close to the tier's lower bound. A practical guide to spotting float premium and trading it.