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Scanner/XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New)
Refreshed 5d ago
Factory New
XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New)
Mil-Spec
XM1014

Watchdog

Mil-SpecFactory New
Wear spectrum0.000 – 0.066
FNMWFTWWBS
Best sell?
€11.07
cheapest live · −0.1%
Float premium?
+54.8%
Listings?
36
SSISkinScope Skin Index
sparse confidence
—
weighted median of 0 venues
Methodology: weighted median of cheapest listings across marketplaces, modified Z-score outlier filter (MAD×3.5). Platform weights: Skinport/CSFloat/Buff163 = 1.0, Waxpeer/DMarket = 0.7, regional = 0.5, Steam = 0.3 (wallet-locked). Refreshes with each snapshot cycle.
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7-day forecast
€11.38range €9.99 – €12.77
Trend
↗ 0.88% / day
r² = 0.00 · 13 points
€8.02€10.61€13.20now

Linear regression over the last 30 days. Shaded band is the 95% confidence interval —wider band means noisier price, not wrong forecast.

Deeper analysis

Price across marketplaces

net = after seller fees
Platform
Listed
Net (sell)
Fees
Flags
Inv.
Skinport5d ago
BUY€10.85
SELL€9.55
−12.0%
direct
16
CSFloat
—
—
−2.0%
direct
—
Waxpeer
—
—
−5.0%
direct
—
Steam Market
—
—
−15.0%
wallet
—
DMarket
—
—
−2.0%
direct
—
Buff163
—
—
−2.5%
EU-WD
—

Sell channel comparison

gross sale at €10.85
Skinport
€9.55−12.0%
CSFloatbest cash
€10.63−2.0%
Waxpeer
€10.31−5.0%
Steam Marketwallet-locked
€9.43−13.0%
DMarketbest cash
€10.63−2.0%
Buff163
€10.58−2.5%

Profit simulator

live net after fees
Liquidity ?Recommended: ≤ 3 units
~ 7 days to clear
Buy side
Sell side
Net result × 3
€-0.00-0.0%
Capital out€32.55
Net received€32.55
Per unit€-0.00

Live CSFloat listings

[CSFLOAT] HTTP 429.

Float distribution

36 CSFloat listings · band 0.000–0.067
€25.7€17.9€10.2q1midq40.0000.0170.0340.0500.067float value
q1 (low float)
€23.75+54.8%
mid
€16.84
q4 (high float)
€11.14-27.4%
Price history
FREE shows 30d single platform · upgrade for 1Y + all markets
Hypothesis · 7d outlookv1
Neutral
Confidence
0%

Not enough history to form a hypothesis (need ≥8 days).

★ PRO unlocks per-signal breakdown, 1-year history on the chart above, and upcoming AI-narrated analysis.
Coming in v2: CS2 event calendar (majors, operations), LLM narration of every signal, personalised confidence based on your own flip history.